With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just more than three weeks away, it’s time to begin taking a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card already have lines introduced, and they’re about as different as could be. At the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the guy he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first battle, Barao closed as a enormous -910 favorite (wager $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male member dominated that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in one of the biggest statistical upsets in UFC history. This moment, the odds are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the little underdog at +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card which up until now did not have gambling lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that now as he released the full UFC 177 betting odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ———- MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I actually want Bethe Correia to win this fight, so that I never have to hear anything about the absurd”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia hasn’t confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, especially when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler is able to sift through Correia’s drag and striking this fight to the floor where she will have a distinct advantage. The biggest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and harm woes of late, which can be more than sufficient to keep me away from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the toes a few times prior to, and unlike his bouts against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe will not have the ability to fall back on his wrestling if the striking does not go to plan. This ought to be very competitive in most areas, but Ferguson has minor edges which should propel him to victory. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late makes him seem like a 37-year-old. He seemed completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was immediately dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the flip side, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his latest bout. It feels like Larkin was really overvalued as a potential while in Strikeforce, while Brunson had been missed. This is an extremely tough bout to predict regarding a negative or a complete, so I’ll probably stay out entirely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling edge here, but even that is questionable. Ferreira is the much better entry grappler, and probably even the greater striker at this stage (though Nijem’s advancement in that respect last time out was nice to see). I expect Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another end on his resume from his entry abilities or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo consistently made for interesting bouts when he was facing completely overmatched competition, so he’s up against a valid test in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical advantages here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling edge, naturally. He may not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the vital tests for prospects in his final outing too, getting cracked square to the jaw and shaking off it to win not just the combat, but round too. The major question with Cejudo, as always, is: how focused is he? Maybe being signed with the UFC was that the impetus he had to begin taking the game seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he has been coasting at times. Against Jorgensen that he may not have the ability to eliminate a half effort, and if he does it will make him even more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to restrain and outhustle opponents to pick up decisions. That will be difficult against Ruslan Magomedov, who actually possesses decent cardio for a heavyweight, to go together with his solid striking. Coming off of almost a year layoff, it is difficult to expect much from Odoms, so I expect Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is somebody I completely expect to fade if he could get a couple more wins and face adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too fast, and should nearly be snuffed out at this stage. His striking defense looked atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his submission game was practically non-existent as he was exploited within seconds of hitting the floor against Miller. Maybe that could work to the benefit of his backers against Justin Edwards however, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even in this point. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, and not many different skills, so Medeiros has this fight to win so long as he does not dive in that weapon. Edwards will likely come out fast, because he must know that a win will mark the conclusion of his UFC employ. Talking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will likely be shown the door as well, because both put on foul dislpays within their UFC debuts. Potts is a competitive — but not too talented — grappler, while Hamilton showed massive holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some power and Potts was set out by one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either man could finish this battle quickly and I would not be amazed, or else they could play it safe and we can be treated to some truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the cost for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is high enough, I may just take a shot there in hopes that the bout is of the hilariously bad variety, but I can’t see myself putting considerably greater than Monopoly money down on this competition.
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