NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the pioneer at the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of this year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds provide him a 9-4 chance to get it as he starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other top contenders in this .75-mile brief course. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and current results into account.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. Additionally, it nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Richmond Raceway are in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR in Richmond 2019we can inform you that the version is top on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond chances.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of the last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race at 2017. He will start in 14th place after a slightly slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the quickest lap (121.70 MPH) in the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the rate needed to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

And a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better worth in a loaded 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week in Bristol, finishing 17th. In his career, Truex hasn’t fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In fact, he’s finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the track.

The version can also be targeting two additional drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.

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